August 27th, 2025
Reasons for Mortgage Slowdown and What the Private Lending Market Snapshot looks like for 2025
1. High Mortgage Rates & Affordability Issues
- Borrowing costs remain elevated.
- Many buyers are priced out compared to 2–3 years ago.
- “Payment shock” at renewal is keeping move-up buyers on the sidelines.
2. Rising Inventory & Buyer’s Market Dynamics
- Listings are up 10% nationally and 26% in the GTA.
- Buyers have more choice and are negotiating harder.
- Homes not priced competitively are sitting unsold.
3. Condo Oversupply in Key Markets
- New condo completions have flooded markets like Toronto and Vancouver.
- Rental demand is softening, cooling investor interest.
- Many units do not stand out in a high-supply environment.
4. Economic Uncertainty
- Concerns about slower growth, trade uncertainty, and layoffs.
- Buyers fear home values may drop further into 2026.
- Many adopt a “wait-and-see” approach.
5. Market Outlook
- Private lending in Canada is growing strongly and expected to continue expanding.
- Driven by flexible financing demand, bank retrenchment, and investor appetite for yield.
1. Bank Retreat & Market Gaps
- Traditional banks are limiting lending to middle-market and higher-risk sectors.
- Private lenders fill the gap with tailored financing solutions.
2. Investor Demand for Yield
- Private credit offers higher, less correlated returns amid market volatility.
- Increasing participation from institutional investors.

Key Takeaways
- Private lending is likely to be more favoured with the large number of renewals that are coming in 2026.
- Borrowers must be prepared for enhanced due diligence and risk assessment.
Market remains opportunity-rich, particularly for flexible, non-traditional financing solutions.
We are here to help wherever we can, our location is anywhere in Ontario, our rates start at 6.99% for one year and our lender fee is 1.50%.
Bring us your deals and let us help you help your clients become financially better off especially in this stressful time of market volatility and uncertainties.

